Victoria Housing Market Still Finding Its Balance

Lately we are hearing many different things about the local real estate market.  Some reports still scream impending doom and gloom, others say the worst is behind us and it is business as usual.  Of course the truth is in there some where.  With inventory levels hovering between 4-5 months we can safely assume that the seller dominated market of the past two years is history.  A balanced market is where we currently sit.  Lower price ranges for single family houses (sub $750,000) are still very competitive in the core areas of Victoria.  A f.o.m.o. (fear of missing out) attitude for many buyers is still prevalent.  SO, is it a good time to buy or sell?  The answer is not absolute.  Victoria is compartmentalized into several sub regions and divided into single family houses and condo markets.  Depending where and what you are looking for the answer can vary.  Ask a professional about your specific needs.

- mike vanderkruyk


Victoria Real Estate Board Press Release:

A total of 651 properties sold in the Victoria Real Estate Board region this July, 17.6 per cent fewer than the 790 properties sold in July of last year, and an 8.1 per cent decrease from June 2018. Sales of condominiums were down 22.6 per cent from last year in July with 188 units sold. Sales of single family homes were down 16.5 per cent from 2017 with 340 sold this July.
 
"We are in a different market now than what we have seen for the past two years," says Victoria Real Estate Board President Kyle Kerr. "And while we see inventory creeping up after the drought in 2017, especially in the multi-million-dollar range, across our region there are 30 per cent fewer homes listed for sale under $750,000 than this time last year. This means that if you are shopping in the $750,000-or-less bracket, you are in a fast-moving market with low inventory. For example, of the 176 single family detached properties sold in our Core and Malahat regions during the month of July, only 59 (34%) were listed for $750,000 or less. And of those, 28 (47%) sold at or over list price. This illustrates the high demand for homes at or below this price point, and the pressure that is still pushing that segment of our market. If you are looking for a home priced at $1.5 million or above, there is more selection than last year and those homes are sitting on the market longer. For the first seven months of 2017 there were 481 single family detached properties for sale listed at $1.5 million or above. For the same time period in 2018, there were 664 properties for sale in this range, an increase of 27.6 per cent."
 
There were a total of 2,607 active listings for sale on the Victoria Real Estate Board Multiple Listing Service® at the end of July 2018, an increase of 0.5 per cent compared to the month of June and 35.7 per cent more than the 1,921 active listings for sale at the end of July 2017. 
 
"Each year we tend to see a plateau in inventory over the summer months," adds President Kerr.
"It is possible that we will see more inventory come into the market through the fall when there is often a burst of activity in our market, but it's hard to predict how that inventory might be priced. Ideally, we will see more inventory come in at under the $750,000 level to help push our housing market into more balanced territory across all segments."  
 
The Multiple Listing Service® Home Price Index benchmark value for a single family home in the Victoria Core in July 2017 was $834,200, while the benchmark value for the same home in July 2018 increased by 5.5 per cent to $880,000, slightly lower than June's value of $889,600. The MLS® HPI benchmark value for a condominium in the Victoria Core area in July 2017 was $442,100, while the benchmark value for the same condominium in July 2018 increased by 12.1 per cent to $495,700, slightly higher than June's value of $496,500.



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